@perrymetzger @WayneFung6 *said... he seems to be standing by this one and I appreciate the clarity at last... it was the obvious implication all along if you took his p(doom) as sincere
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Reply · Mar 5, 2023@bayeslord I think that's too strong, I've read a lot of Yud's content and apparently I'm too stupid to grok his reasoning-> p(doom) ... maybe I'm…Reply · Jun 8, 2023@daniel_271828 thinks p(doom) > .01%Reply · Aug 22, 2023@PipFoweraker my p(doom) is small enough that I don't have a good feel for how something like that would affect it???Reply · Oct 15, 2023@DeeperThrill @RandolphCarterZ For a long time I really did assume p(doom) was the result of a robust model w empirical data so far as we can get it…