@neuralvarez yes... I mean, part of my belief is that long-termism is way overconfident in their assumption that we can predict cause & effect of our actions over millennia so I'm more focused on near future being better than the past
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Reply · Jun 2, 2022@samue1h @_holyweather Certainly seems like a factor in learning from the past to predict the future, which is of utmost importance for the…Quote tweet · Aug 10, 2022My quarrel w longtermists is mostly that they’re overconfident in their ability to forecast the results of their actions.…Reply · Nov 12, 2022@CineraVerinia Imo the problem w longtermism (accurate prediction of distant future) is potentially solvable by a Superintelligence… so developing ASI…Reply · Nov 17, 2023same attitude wrt longtermism really, that my error bars grow so large so quickly that it becomes pointless to talk about the distant future as a…