@DeeperThrill @RandolphCarterZ For a long time I really did assume p(doom) was the result of a robust model w empirical data so far as we can get it 😅
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Reply · Jun 8, 2023@daniel_271828 thinks p(doom) > .01%Reply · Oct 15, 2023@DeeperThrill @RandolphCarterZ lol and I'm over here trying to work out my p(doom) w bayes theorem & gpt...Reply · Aug 22, 2023@PipFoweraker my p(doom) is small enough that I don't have a good feel for how something like that would affect it???Reply · Mar 5, 2023@bayeslord I think that's too strong, I've read a lot of Yud's content and apparently I'm too stupid to grok his reasoning-> p(doom) ... maybe I'm…