"it is easier to predict endpoints than paths" or "path dependence rules everything around me"?
More notes on nearby ideas
Repost · Nov 11, 2022RT @MikePFrank: @jachiam0 Anyone who thinks that they can predict with unshakable confidence that path A has orders of magnitude greater lo…Reply · Jan 25, 2023@CyberneticMelon yes I think ppl can and have predicted this at a high level (e/acc!) but I'm asking a level down / nearer what do ppl see as the path…Reply · Apr 3, 2025@xsphi prediction is all that mattersReply · Apr 13, 2023mmm I think that's the art of it... being able to make tentative assumptions and explore down multiple branching paths while also backtracking to test…