what if intelligence is ability to accurately predict the future given past / present info & calculate which actions shift the future towards a preferred outcome... contextual intelligence means in simple worlds there's an upper bound- can't do better than perfect?
otoh thinking isn't free, has an energy cost... so "best" choice in a very chaotic world might be to chillax and not expend energy trying to predict the unpredictable..?
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Reply · Dec 27, 2022@ctjlewis @xlr8harder @tszzl In a world where we can perfectly predict the future, sure… w our current intelligence Vs complexity of the world I think…Tweet · May 7, 2024you can only be as intelligent as your environment allows- how much of what went before is together predictive of what comes next?Reply · Sep 10, 2025@repligate what is your definition of intelligence if not predicting the distribution of next tokens? ravens progressive matrices, social games,…Tweet · May 15, 2026to predict the future you have to build a model that corresponds to features of reality and play it forward faster than time advances in reality so…