@foomagemindset the problem here isn't only that ppl are putting numbers on their intuition (which I'd be ok w if quoted that way), but that the ppl they're asking have extreme selection bias + social & financial incentives to quote big scary numbers
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Reply · Dec 23, 2023@bayeslord also intuition and avoiding ppl who give you a bad feeling...Reply · Jun 4, 2023@ThatShawGuy lol I picked a round number large enough to get at the spirit of the question...Reply · Nov 9, 2023@MindEnjoyer regardless of intuition's factual accuracy it is predictive of how the person with the intuition will tend to act / their pattern of…Reply · Jul 2, 2021@ATabarrok Is it a lack of statistics education, or a rational choice driven by factors I fail to appreciate?